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Visitors won't threaten Paris SG

The total expected goals for this fixture is pretty high so this could be entertaining. It won't be long after this gets underway before the visitors find themselves trailing. It's first placed Paris SG welcoming 18th placed Metz in this Ligue 1 clash as the home team looks to add to the 52-point gap between the sides.

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The odds-on Paris SG price might not be jumping off the screen but it's a compelling bet to consider. If they produce even a glimpse of what they are capable of it will still be too much for Metz. The hosts are coming into the match with 16 home wins from their last 20. It would be a stone-cold shocker if the home side were denied the win.  Paris SG have been enterprising. Their recent 8 matches have resulted in them hitting the net an average of 3.3 times per game. 

Metz don't have a great record in defence away from home, conceding an average of 3.0 goals in their last 4 matches away from their own turf. But their problems don't seem to be just in their defensive line. The visitors have not been able to fall back on on their strikers in some of their recent engagements. They've scored one or less goals in 18 of their last 20 matches. The hosts have won the last 11 matches between the two sides in this match-up. This looks like a good time for them to add to the head-to-head. It is highly unlikely they will fail to do so.

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It might all be quite predictable. The hosts have passed bigger tests than this and it would be a huge shock for them not to justify their short price. They just won't expect to lose. Their finishing has been clinical in some of their recent showings. That should make the difference. Most observers believe that neither side will keep a clean sheet during this match despite the clear favouritism for Paris SG. However the odds-against for the No BTTS is actually the smart play from that market.